Crypto Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $250,000 by Late 2025

A well-known crypto trader has expressed confidence that Bitcoin could soar to $250,000 before 2025 ends, attributing this possibility to favorable market conditions and historical price behavior.

Bitcoin’s Consolidation Signals Possible Breakout

Michaël van de Poppe, a respected market analyst, suggests that Bitcoin’s current consolidation around the $100,000 mark may be a precursor to a significant rally. He points to similarities between this phase and previous accumulation periods that came before major bull runs, especially in relation to broader economic patterns like global money supply growth.

In a recent YouTube video, van de Poppe emphasized Bitcoin’s strong link to the M2 money supply—a measure that includes physical cash, checking accounts, savings, and select money market instruments. He noted that after a period of contraction between 2021 and 2023, the M2 supply has started growing again, likely due to expectations of lower interest rates from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

“When more liquidity enters the financial system, assets seen as hedges against inflation—like Bitcoin—tend to benefit,” he explained.

Key Drivers: Money Printing, ETFs, and Market Cycles

Van de Poppe highlighted several factors distinguishing the current market from Bitcoin’s 2021 rally. These include renewed monetary expansion following a period of policy tightening, the potential for interest rates to drop, and a weakening U.S. dollar. Additionally, the launch and success of U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have introduced a powerful new source of capital inflows.

He argued that ETF-driven demand has already fueled Bitcoin’s rise to current levels and could drive prices even higher. “If ETF capital alone brought us here, the market might be underestimating how far this cycle can go,” he said.

The analyst also referenced historical market cycles and a model known as the “banana zone,” which maps Bitcoin’s price action alongside economic phases. These models often show massive price increases following prolonged consolidation near psychological price points—similar to Bitcoin’s stagnation near $10,000 before its 2020 breakout. With BTC hovering near $100,000 for the past eight months, van de Poppe sees a similar setup forming.

“This prolonged pause suggests we’re at a balance point—and the next leg up could be coming soon,” he noted.

Near-Term and Long-Term Price Forecast

Looking at the months ahead, van de Poppe predicts Bitcoin could rise to between $160,000 and $180,000 within the next three months, thanks to favorable seasonal trends in the crypto market and expanding M2 supply. By the fourth quarter of 2025, he believes a price as high as $250,000 is within reach.

“If the final quarter maintains momentum, a Bitcoin price of $250,000—or even more—is entirely possible,” he stated.

While optimistic, the trader did acknowledge that the current cycle could play out more slowly, potentially peaking in 2027 or 2028. He also mentioned the continued underperformance of altcoins, which he sees as a sign of market imbalance—and a potential opportunity for savvy investors.