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Bet On The Right Side Of Crypto Market Every Time – Expert Guide

Introduction

If you’re frustrated with constant losses — you’re not alone. The moment you open a long, the market dips. The moment you flip short — wallah — it rips green. It makes you feel like you’re the unluckiest trader in the world. Using 1D and H4 is highly recommended, also the lowest timeframe shall be H1 for analysis. For trade execution, you can get to 15m-5m.

Trust me, we’ve all been there.

But worry no more — we’re here to help you understand how to position yourself on the right side of the crypto markets. With over nine years of experience navigating the highs and lows of this space, we’ve seen every trap, trick, and trend out there.

By the end of this detailed guide, you’ll have the clarity and confidence to approach the market like a pro. We’ll focus on three key things:

  1. When to be a bull
  2. When to be a bear
  3. And when to step away and touch grass 

Along the way, we’ll also help you cut through the noise, stay grounded, and trade with logic — not emotions. Do Follow us on X.

So, without wasting your time, let’s dive in.


Cutting through the noise

Having clarity of mind and staying uninfluenced by countless market analyses on CT or Telegram is the key to being on the right side of the crypto markets. Remember, too many cooks spoil the broth — following every other opinion will only cloud your judgment. Without clarity, you’ll end up flip-flopping between longs and shorts, slowly bleeding away your hard-earned capital.

You can only cut through the noise when you truly understand technical analysis. That means spending time practicing — charting setups, marking key levels, identifying support and resistance zones, spotting liquidity pockets, and recognizing order blocks like a pro.

Remember, you need to sharpen your knife before you try to cut something. The same rule applies here — before you trade the market, learn to read it.


Technical Analysis

Knowing technical analysis is as important as having capital to trade. It’s essential to understand the market’s direction – both long-term and short-term. You need to know when the trend turns bullish or flips bearish. This matters because you want to bet on the stronger, right side of the market instead of getting stuck with the weaker players.

Things you need to know in Technical Analysis are as follows:

  • Using SMA for identifying trends
  • Support and resistance levels for entry and take profit
  • Fibonacci levels for level confluence
  • Identify liquidity pockets where price can hunt Stops
  • Order-flow in the order books to find potential order block
  • Volume analysis to understand potential reversal or continuation

Apart from the above, you need to experience the roller-coaster ride that the crypto market offers. The market will bring a new challenge every time. You need to be like water, always ready to adapt and reshape your skills. Also, becoming a consistently profitable trader with a high winning streak takes a lot of discipline.

You don’t need to trade every day; you need to trade the opportunities. Understanding the market momentum and maintaining a rhythm is very important to sustain your winning streak.

Let’s get straight to the pointers.


Identifying Market Trend

To identify market trends, we can use moving averages such as the 50-day and 200-day SMA. Alternatively, shorter-term EMAs like the 12 and 21 can also be effective. The convergence of moving averages is a widely used trend indicator because it clearly reveals who has the upper hand — the bulls or the bears.

Sometimes, when the market moves sideways, it can generate false signals. That’s when you need to control your emotions and protect your portfolio from getting liquidated.

We can clearly see that bears have a greater probability of winning in the chart above.

Support and resistance levels

Finding strong support and resistance levels is actually quite simple — all it takes is a clear chart, a calm mind, and a bit of experience. With time, you’ll start spotting them effortlessly. You just have to flow with the rhythm of the market.

Support and resistance are zones where the price has either paused or reversed. For instance, when the price touches a resistance, it might either fall or break above it and turn that level into new support. The same goes for support — the price can bounce back from it or break below and flip it into resistance.

Clear support and resistance on BTC.

Fibonacci levels for confluence

If you love math, you’ve probably come across the golden ratio. Even if you don’t, you still need to understand it in trading — because retracements are a natural part of the market. Without them, prices can’t move in one direction forever.

To plot a Fibonacci retracement for a bullish move, click on the swing low and drag it up to the swing high. For a bearish retracement, start from the swing high and drag it down to the swing low. You can add it for a confluence with your support and resistance levels. Here is an example.

Fib retracements plotted for both the uptrend and downtrend for contextual clarity.

Identifying liquidity pockets

This is a crucial step — recognizing where your opponents’ stop-losses (their weaknesses) lie can be a powerful advantage. It’s like performing a SWOT analysis on your competition. For bulls, knowing where the bears’ stop-losses are resting is valuable information, and for bears, identifying where the bulls’ stops are positioned is equally important.

The 0.618 level is one of the most reliable Fibonacci retracement zones — it works more often than not. However, an even better trade setup often appears just below this level. When the price dips slightly below 0.618, many bulls are forced to book their losses, creating liquidity. That’s usually the perfect time to open a bullish position and ride the reversal.

The same logic applies on the bearish side. When the price moves slightly above a key resistance, it triggers stop-losses from short positions before quickly reversing downward.

What happens here is simple: old positions get wiped out, new ones are built, and the market moves in the direction of those newly established positions.

Hunting stops of bulls to make a bullish postion or takw profits on bearish position and vice-versa.

Bonus – Maintaining a journal

Every profitable trader in the world does this — you simply can’t become consistently profitable without journaling your trades. You need to understand and be able to repeat the actions that made a trade successful. History may not repeat itself but it rhymes.

Here is a simple yet powerful memorandum journal

ParticularsProfit/LossReason for the trade and remarks
BTC Long$50flipped resistance & favourable RR
BTC Short($20)Took bear stops yet kept going higher

Conclusion

These are the basic technical analysis concepts you need to master to consistently bet on the right side of the crypto market. It’s not rocket science — but it does require discipline, consistency, and an ability to stay in tune with the market’s rhythm. Once you truly catch that flow, you’ll become unstoppable.

That’s it for now — keep learning, keep growing, and if you enjoyed this content or found it valuable, share it with your friends who could benefit from it. Don’t forget to drop your feedback on our Twitter (X); we’d love to hear from you.

For Bitcoin price prediction click here.

Ritesh Gupta
Market Analyst on Cryptojist and Trader since 2021. Been through 2 crypto bear markets. Proficient in financial and strategic management.

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