Bitcoin Death-Cross Is Close – Is The Bear Market Coming?

Introduction

Bitcoin death-cross is closer than you think. Yeah, you heard that right—Bitcoin topped on October 6, 2025. The market structure turned bearish on October 16, 2025. We alerted our followers about a bear market on October 10—here’s the article.

Historically, October is termed “Uptober,” but this time it was “Octobear.” If you follow us on X, you’re on the right (safer) side of crypto.

Let’s get straight to the main point—the Bitcoin death-cross is near.

What is a death-cross?

A death-cross is short term MA crossing the long term MA from above. But why is it actually termed a “death cross”? In technical analysis, this pattern signals that bears have taken control of the price and bearish sentiment has started to prevail.

What does it mean? The bulls are dead—just kidding. It means – the trend is not favorable for bulls, and the higher probability of being right lies with the bears and short positions. For learning more about death-cross you can read it in the link embeded above.

BTC Death-Cross on 1D time frame

We expect a Bitcoin death-cross in about 2 daily closes. It’s not far away from a death cross on the daily timeframe. Lower timeframes already have it.

However, when a Bitcoin death-cross appears, prices often reverse temporarily. Here’s why: as algos trigger shorts, counterparty bots and algos detect the liquidity and build short-term bullish momentum to hunt the stops of late bears who were waiting for confirmation. The same thing happens with a golden cross—a short-term fall is noticeable as the pattern plays out.

Here is the Bitcoin daily chart for clarity. Last cross was on May 22, 2025.

The Confluence

The death cross on Bitcoin is confirmed as it remains in a downtrend, poking support from above and attempting to break it on the weekly timeframe. The next support level would be $75K, with deeper corrections possible at $55K—notably, the 200-week moving average (WMA 200) is also near $55K flaunting confluence. It is just a possibility and it is not a confirmation.

The Macro

The Bitcoin death-cross is an indication that people are fearful of risk-on assets right now. The market is clearly not in favor of the bulls. Additionally, macroeconomic conditions are getting worse—with inflation running hot, AI becoming a bubble, and layoff season getting started in the US. We are risk averse on our portfolio and we will recommend you to avoid leveraged longs at all costs.

The NDX – Confluence

The US tech index started to fall after making a top on the daily timeframe on October 29, 2025. It bounced off the 50-day moving average, but that was just a temporary pump. Now it’s forming a consolidation pattern on the 1D chart, showing clear weakness in the markets—and everything looks ready to burst.

Conclusion

The Bitcoin death-cross isn’t just a technical pattern—it’s a confirmation of what we’ve been warning about since October. With BTC in a confirmed downtrend, lower timeframes already showing the cross, and the daily chart just 2 closes away, the bears are firmly in control.

Add to that the NASDAQ’s about to lose MA 50, deteriorating macro conditions, and risk-off sentiment dominating global markets—the writing is on the wall. We’re not here to sugarcoat it: this is a bear market, and fighting it with leveraged longs is a recipe for getting liquidated.

Stay sharp, manage your risk, and remember—the market doesn’t care about your opinion. It only cares about price action. If you’ve been following our calls on X, you know we called the top and the structure shift. Now it’s time to play defense until the market proves otherwise.

The Bitcoin death-cross is here. Are you positioned correctly?