Coinbase to Introduce Prediction Markets and Tokenized Stocks

Coinbase will launch prediction markets and tokenized stock trading on December 17. Screenshots are already circulating online, showing what these new platforms might look like. The announcement puts Coinbase squarely in a race that suddenly has everyone’s attention.

This isn’t happening in a vacuum. Gemini grabbed CFTC approval for prediction markets this week. Robinhood announced a dedicated futures platform through a joint venture with Susquehanna. Crypto.com partnered with Trump Media & Technology Group to launch its own prediction services. Everyone’s rushing through the same door at once, and that door leads to a market worth over $10 billion.

Building From Scratch Instead of Licensing

Here’s what makes Coinbase different: they’re building everything themselves. The exchange plans to introduce tokenized stocks created entirely in-house, not through external partners. That’s a major distinction. Most competitors license or partner for tokenized equities. Coinbase wants full control over the entire process.

The company has been hinting at this move since July, when executives first mentioned ambitions to offer tokenized stocks and blockchain-powered prediction markets. Now it’s actually happening. A Coinbase spokesperson stayed tight-lipped when asked for details, offering only this: “Tune in to our Dec. 17 livestream to see the new products we’re launching.”

Screenshots shared on social media show early interface designs for both platforms. The leak gives us a glimpse, but the full picture arrives next week. Bloomberg confirmed the December 17 showcase will reveal how Coinbase’s prediction markets and tokenized trading actually work.

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Money’s Already Moving Fast

Investor demand is real and growing fast. Monthly transfer volumes for tokenized equities jumped 32% to hit $1.45 billion, according to data from rwa.xyz. That’s not speculative interest. That’s actual money moving through blockchain-linked stocks right now.

The prediction market space exploded this year. What started as a niche corner of crypto turned into a serious financial product category. People are wagering on elections, sports outcomes, economic indicators, and all kinds of real-world events. The appetite keeps expanding.

Coinbase’s timing lines up perfectly with this growth curve. The exchange already positioned itself strategically through settlement partnerships. Kalshi, for example, chose Coinbase Custody to hold USDC used in its trades. Those relationships matter when you’re trying to dominate infrastructure.

Every Major Player Just Made Their Move

This isn’t just about Coinbase anymore. It’s about who builds the best platform fast enough to capture market share while regulatory doors stay open. The current political climate under the Trump administration created a more favorable environment for these products. Companies are sprinting to take advantage.

Gemini’s CFTC approval on Wednesday put them in the regulated prediction market club, with their five-year licensing process finally complete. That’s significant because regulatory clarity has been the biggest barrier. Now that the barrier is dropping, platforms are flooding in.

Robinhood’s move into futures and derivatives through its Susquehanna joint venture signals they see the same opportunity, with the platform expected to go live in 2026. They already beat Coinbase to prediction markets earlier this year with Kalshi products. Over 9 billion contracts have been traded on Robinhood since launch, making it their fastest-growing product line. Now, Coinbase is catching up and potentially leapfrogging with its integrated approach.

Crypto.com’s partnership with Trump Media adds another layer. The prediction market landscape is getting crowded quickly, and each player brings different strengths. Coinbase has scale, brand recognition, and existing user trust. Whether that’s enough depends on execution.

Why One Platform For Everything Matters?

Prediction markets and tokenized stocks solve different problems, but Coinbase is betting they attract overlapping audiences. Crypto natives want access to traditional assets without leaving their preferred platforms. Traditional investors want blockchain’s 24/7 trading and instant settlement without the complexity.

By offering both under one roof, Coinbase creates a unified experience. You can hold Bitcoin, trade tokenized Tesla shares, and bet on the Super Bowl outcome using the same account. That convenience factor matters more than people realize.

The in-house approach for tokenized stocks gives Coinbase flexibility that partnerships don’t allow. They control compliance, issuance, trading infrastructure, and customer experience. No external dependencies means faster iterations and tighter integration.

Other exchanges using third-party providers face coordination challenges. When something breaks or needs updating, multiple parties have to align. Coinbase sidesteps that entirely.

Next Week’s Showcase Holds the Real Answers

The showcase will answer the remaining questions. Which stocks get tokenized first? What prediction markets go live initially? How does pricing work? What jurisdictions get access? These details determine whether this launch succeeds or stumbles.

Regulatory compliance remains the elephant in the room. Tokenized securities face strict oversight in the United States. Prediction markets just recently won key legal battles. How Coinbase navigates these frameworks will shape the product’s reach.

But the strategic direction is crystal clear. Major crypto platforms are racing to become comprehensive financial super-apps. The winners will be platforms that successfully blend crypto, traditional assets, and new product categories like prediction markets into seamless experiences.

Coinbase just made its play. Next week, we find out if they built something that works or just joined a crowded field. The December 17 livestream will settle that question.

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When exactly will Coinbase launch prediction markets? 

December 17, 2025. The exchange will reveal full product details during a livestream showcase event that day. Screenshots leaked on social media suggest both prediction markets and tokenized stocks will be announced together.

What makes Coinbase’s tokenized stocks different from competitors? 

Coinbase is building tokenized equity infrastructure entirely in-house rather than partnering with external providers. This gives them complete control over issuance, compliance, and trading, unlike most exchanges that rely on third-party solutions.

How big is the prediction market industry right now? 

The sector is valued at over $10 billion. Monthly transfer volumes for tokenized equities alone recently hit $1.45 billion, up 32% from the previous period. Robinhood has already traded over 9 billion contracts since launching their prediction products.

Which other exchanges offer similar products? 

Gemini received CFTC approval for prediction markets on December 10. Robinhood launched a joint venture with Susquehanna to operate a futures and derivatives platform expected in 2026. Crypto.com partnered with Trump Media for prediction services. The competition is heating up fast across the entire sector.

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