Introduction
Crypto traders and investors are asking the same question in October 2025: Is the crypto winter here? After months of bullish sentiment, recent market movements suggest that the trend may be shifting. Our analysts have identified key technical and structural signals indicating that the crypto market could be entering a bear phase.
Daily Structure Broken: Bullish Trend Turns Bearish
One of the most critical signs of a market shift is a break in the daily bullish structure. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin and major altcoins have shown signs of trend reversal:
- Higher highs and higher lows — a hallmark of bullish momentum — have been broken.
- The market is now forming lower highs and lower lows, a classic bearish pattern that often signals prolonged downtrends.
According to our analysts, this structural shift is a strong early warning of a potential bear market.

Key Level Breached: 118,600
Another major technical indicator is the break of the important level at 118,600. Historically, breaking such a significant support level triggers panic selling, accelerates bearish momentum, and often precedes extended market downturns.
Unlike previous years, this break has occurred before November, highlighting that the typical late-year seasonal bullishness may not hold this time. For context:
- In 2021, similar corrections happened after October end, allowing bulls to recover and push toward all-time highs.
- This time, the early breach suggests we could see a longer period of weakness, confirming that “Uptober” is no longer functioning as it did in past cycles.
Why Analysts Believe Crypto Winter Is Arriving
Several factors reinforce the bearish outlook:
- Momentum Shift – Daily bullish structures have been violated, signaling a change in market sentiment.
- Critical Support Breach – The break of 118,600 highlights that buyers are losing control.
- Seasonal Pattern Break – “Uptober” is failing, which historically served as a precursor to year-end rallies.
- Market Psychology – Fear is gradually overtaking greed, reducing the likelihood of short-term rebounds.
Together, these signs point toward the potential start of a crypto winter — a period of prolonged downward or sideways price movement.
What Traders Should Do
Entering a bear market does not mean the end of opportunity. Traders and investors can take strategic steps:
- Reduce risk exposure: Avoid over-leveraging and large positions.
- Focus on strong projects: High-quality assets often outperform during downturns.
- Consider accumulation strategies: Use dips to build positions in fundamentally strong coins.
- Monitor key levels: Watch support and resistance zones closely for signs of recovery or further decline.
Conclusion
While crypto has seen multiple bull cycles, the early breakdown in bullish structure, the breach of 118,600, and the fading of traditional seasonal patterns suggest that a crypto winter may be upon us. Staying informed, disciplined, and strategic will be crucial for navigating this potential bearish phase.
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