As XRP faces heightened market volatility, a leading crypto analyst has mapped out a long-term bullish trajectory that could see the token rise to as high as $37. However, this potential rally is clouded by ongoing resistance from bearish forces, making it a critical moment for XRP traders and investors.
XRP’s Journey to $37: Technical Roadmap Explained
Crypto strategist Egrag Crypto has identified a pivotal chart pattern based on XRP’s long-term moving averages. He focused on the interaction between the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 33-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) — two key indicators that have historically signaled major price shifts for XRP.
In a detailed analysis shared on X (formerly Twitter), Egrag pointed out that when the 21-week EMA crosses above the 33-week SMA, it often precedes major price surges. Previous cycles saw XRP jump by:
- 520.25% in 2025
- 855.36% in 2021
- 1,600.63% in 2018
- A massive 6,505.21% in 2017
These rallies all followed the same EMA/SMA crossover pattern.
Based on this recurring market behavior, the analyst believes XRP may be setting up for another explosive move. He projects potential breakout targets in multiple stages — with conservative estimates at $5.71 and $9.57, a mid-range target of $27, and a maximum bullish extension reaching $37.
At the time of analysis, XRP was trading near $2.34, indicating considerable room for growth if historical patterns repeat.
Bears Still in the Game
Despite the promising outlook, Egrag Crypto cautions that the market isn’t out of the woods yet. The same EMA/SMA crossover pattern can also signal bearish reversals when the 21 EMA drops below the 33 SMA.
In past bear phases — notably in May and November 2021 — such crossovers led to sharp declines of 87% and 72%, respectively. Egrag warns that another downward crossover could result in a correction of nearly 79.54% from XRP’s recent peak.
He stated that should this bearish signal emerge again, it would mark a macro top for XRP. In that case, he plans to exit a significant portion of his holdings, anticipating the beginning of a prolonged bearish trend.
Final Thoughts
While the roadmap to $37 is technically supported, XRP remains in a tug-of-war between bullish momentum and bearish threats. Traders should keep a close eye on these moving averages, as they may define XRP’s next major move.


